Bombardier Twenty-Year Forecast
The Bombardier Market Forecast provides an overview of the commercial aircraft market for the next twenty years. The report primarily focuses on the 60-150 seat segment of the global commercial aircraft industry. You can compare Bombardier’s forecast with Boeing, Airbus, Embraer, Mitsubishi, COMAC and United Aircraft elsewhere on Avi8ion’s site.
The following paraphrases Bombardier’s executive summary:
This forecast provides an industry a 20-year outlook by determining long-term effects of key market drivers. Importantly, these drivers influence Bombardier’s growth, retirement and migration models. The conclusions are categorized by region and aircraft seating capacity. This method enables a better understanding of regional dynamics and gauging requirements respectively.
Bombardier’s estimates drive business confidence and influence product development. These elements underpin Bombardier’s strategic planning and underscore the company’s unique position in today’s marketplace. In addition to showing general market dynamics, Bombardier’s forecast focuses on various ways airlines are changing methods for asset evaluations.
Airlines are shifting their primary metric for network and fleet optimization strategies from ‘cost’ to ‘profit’. As such, more airlines are investing in right-sized aircraft that maximize their profits. Currently lower oil prices may permit airlines to delay replacement or retirement of less efficient aircraft. However, in the long-term, fuel efficiency and environmental footprint remain key drivers of airline fleet decisions.
The long-term outlook for Bombardier markets is strong. With a leading portfolio of products, the company is confident in the prospects of Bombardier businesses. Bombardier Commercial Aircraft is the only manufacturer providing a solution for any type of business model in the 60- to 150-seat segment. As such, the company is well positioned to capture the value of the exciting opportunities outlined in the Market Forecast.
Key Data Points:
- The 60- to 150-seat segment in-service fleet is at a record high with 6,900 aircraft.
- The Large Regional Aircraft segment will continue to penetrate short-haul routes.
- The Small Regional Aircraft segment erosion will have a ripple up-gauging effect.
- Almost all regional jets in the small regional aircraft segment will up-gauge due to lack of options and regional pilot shortages.
- In mature markets, direct replacement with small narrow-bodies will occur.